3 Great Videos from TED

July 26  |  By Max  |  No Comments

The following three videos from TED are not necessarily related to business or investing. But you should watch them anyway.

Benjamin Zander: Classical music with shining eyes

Benjamin Zander has two infectious passions: classical music, and helping us all realize our untapped love for it — and by extension, our untapped love for all new possibilities, new experiences, new connections. [See Zander’s book “The Art of Possibility].




Chris Abani: Telling stories of our shared humanity

Chris Abani tells stories of people: People standing up to soldiers. People being compassionate. People being human and reclaiming their humanity. It’s “ubuntu,” he says: the only way for me to be human is for you to reflect my humanity back at me. [See his first TED speech here].




Sir Ken Robinson: Do schools kill creativity?

Sir Ken Robinson makes an entertaining and profoundly moving case for creating an education system that nurtures (rather than undermines) creativity. [This is an old talk, but if you’ve never seen it, stop everything you’re doing and watch it now.]



An Early Christmas for Value Investors

July 8  |  By Max  |  1 Comment

Christmas comes but once a year.

This year, it comes three months early for those in the world of value investing. The following two books will be released at the end of September:

September 26 — Security Analysis: Sixth Edition

After a 20 year hiatus, McGraw-Hill is releasing the latest updated edition of Ben Graham’s original Security Analysis. The update includes: a forward by Warren Buffett; a chapter by James Grant; introductions by Howard Marks, Bruce Berkowitz, and Bruce Greenwald; and commentary from Seth Klarman, Roger Lowenstein, and Glenn Greenberg. An impressive lineup. New subjects will include international investing, hedge funds, absolute return strategies, and the efficient market hypothesis.

September 30 — The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life

The definitive, nearly 1,000 page biography on Warren Buffett. Written by Alice Schroeder, the insurance analyst who caught Buffett’s eye after her report on Berkshire Hathaway. Much has been written about Buffett’s life, but never from his perspective. My guess is that many details will emerge about Buffett’s personality and the mindset that makes him the greatest investor of all time.

FutureBlind Digest 4/22/08

April 21  |  By Max  |  No Comments

A few good articles on the Freakonomics blog:

Phil Gordon Answers Your Poker Questions / Great interview with poker pro Phil Gordon where he talks about randomness, psychology and the future of card playing.

Not-So-Free Ride: The trouble with negative externalities / On creating better-aligned incentives to deal with the effects of cars and the environment/costs to society. Perhaps some good suggestions for Buffett’s GEICO subsidiary.

This article by Sanjay Bakshi courtesy of Reflections on Value Investing explores the sunk-cost fallacy and the endowment effect. Both good heuristics to be aware of when making decisions.

Blog update 4/08

April 7  |  By Max  |  No Comments

Over the next few months, due to other commitments I won’t be writing posts as frequently. [Removed] Until then, you’ll have to settle with a few posts here and there with links I may find interesting.

On that note, I’ll take this time to thank all the readers and subscribers of this blog. It’s been running for about 6 months now, and has received about 15k views from 78 countries around the world. I don’t write as often as some other blogs, but when I started FutureBlind I wanted the quality of the posts to make up for it. So hopefully you’ve either enjoyed the articles, learned something new, or gotten some kind of insight from this blog.

In the first part of May, I will be attending the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska. I hope to see any readers who will be at the meeting or at the Yellow BRK’er party Friday night. For those who can’t make it, I’ll probably be posting a brief summary of my experience (every year it seems there are plenty of bloggers/writers who give great summaries of the meeting). This is the second Berkshire meeting I’ll have gone to (first time in 2006), and hopefully it will be just as good as the last.

Here’s a few good links before I go:

Fear of a Black Swan — interview with Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

Sam Zell: A Tough Guy in a Mean Business

Evolving the Wow! Factor – Olivia Judson is a science writer for the NYT. She is an evolutionary biologist and always has very fascinating articles. For anyone interested in evolutionary mental models, Olivia is one of the best writers out there.

Place Your Stock Bets Here — A post on the Freakonomics blog on the site Inspectd.com. A good site to show you how futile charting and technical analysis techniques are (once again, the rear-view mirror doesn’t help much).

The above also links to another good Freakonomics post on the media’s insistence on finding a reason for every market move. My favorite future headline: “Stocks Dive: Three First-Movers Sold Hard and Then Everyone Else Inexplicably Followed“.

Decisions in the face of uncertainty

February 21  |  By Max  |  No Comments

Studying Students’ Reaction to Chance

An interesting article on a contest held at University of Virginia’s Darden School of Business. The contest split 269 students into two groups:

1. The first chooses one of two unmarked briefcases. One has a check for $18,750, and the other has nothing. Before opening the case, they are offered a chance to receive a fixed amount of cash in its place. It’s their choice.

2. The second group is given the cash upfront, and then offered the chance to buy one of the briefcases. For the student mentioned in the article, he was given $3,000. He could have walked away with the $3k, or bought the right to choose one of the cases.

The research showed that “buyers” (the second group) were more likely to keep the cash. Of course that isn’t rational, because the expected value of the case selection is $9,375 (a 50% chance of getting the $18,750 check).

The students admitted the decision is easier on paper, and more difficult when you have a handful of cash.

Overall, I’m glad Darden is doing research like this and teaching the students about decision making in the face of uncertainty. More schools should be doing the same.



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